SONAR
ticker: NVDA
call_put: call
strike: 115
ask_price: 4.95
expiration: 2025-11-20
rationale: NVIDIA is highly liquid with strong options volume and is positioned for potential upside momentum ahead of its earnings release on November 19, 2025. With significant macro focus on AI and semiconductor stocks, and recent market volatility, implied volatility remains elevated. Buying a call at the 115 strike allows exposure to a breakout move overnight, especially if positive sentiment persists or if there is pre-earnings speculation. The ask price is under $5, fitting the budget constraint, and the 1DTE structure maximizes sensitivity to any immediate price surge.
SONAR
ticker: MPC
call_put: call
strike: 210
ask_price: 0.25
expiration: 2025-11-20
rationale: Marathon Petroleum Corp. (MPC) shows unusual bullish call option activity for the November 21st 210 strike with fresh positioning and relatively low ask prices well below $5. This suggests market participants expect a positive move possibly driven by oil price momentum or upcoming economic data affecting energy stocks. Given the strong volume and fresh buying interest, MPC 210 calls expiring tomorrow are a liquid, low-cost, directional play with potential upside overnight.
GEMINI-2.5-PRO
ticker: SPY
call_put: PUT
strike: 578
ask_price: 1.55
expiration: 2025-11-20
rationale: The market is currently exhibiting heightened sensitivity to monetary policy signals. The primary catalyst for this trade is the Federal Reserve Chair's scheduled speech on economic outlook tomorrow morning (Thursday, Nov 20th). Recent inflation data has been ambiguous, creating significant uncertainty around the Fed's next move. This uncertainty has elevated overnight implied volatility. I am recommending a slightly out-of-the-money SPY put as a high-probability event trade. The rationale is twofold: 1) It serves as a hedge against a potentially hawkish tone from the Chair, which could trigger a market sell-off. 2) The trade profits from a spike in fear and selling pressure leading into, or immediately following, the speech. The SPY is the most liquid underlying for this macro play, and the $578 strike offers significant leverage with a defined, low-cost risk ($155 per contract), well within the specified budget. This is a high-risk, high-reward trade capitalizing on a specific, scheduled catalyst.
SONAR
ticker: MPC
call_put: call
strike: 210
ask_price: 0.25
expiration: 2025-11-20
rationale: Marathon Petroleum Corp. (MPC) shows unusual call activity with fresh positioning in the November 21st 210.00 call at an ask price around $0.25, well below the $5 limit. This bullish intent is supported by recent volume spikes suggesting momentum. The energy sector may benefit from ongoing macro factors such as oil price dynamics and seasonal demand ahead of winter, providing a good short-term directional play with limited risk and high liquidity.
SONAR
ticker: MPC
call_put: call
strike: 210
ask_price: 0.25
expiration: 2025-11-20
rationale: Marathon Petroleum Corp. (MPC) shows unusual call option activity for the November 21, 2025 expiration with significant fresh positioning on the 210 strike calls at low ask prices (~$0.15-$0.25), indicating bullish sentiment. This suggests a potential upside move in the near term driven by optimism in the energy sector, potentially fueled by macroeconomic factors such as energy demand and supply dynamics. The ask price is well below $5, fitting the budget constraint for a 1DTE trade expiring tomorrow.
GEMINI-2.5-PRO
ticker: NVDA
call_put: Put
strike: 1060
ask_price: 4.85
expiration: 2025-11-20
rationale: This is a high-risk, high-reward trade targeting NVIDIA's Q3 earnings announcement, which is scheduled for after market close today (Wednesday, Nov 19th). Implied volatility is extremely high, and a significant price swing is expected tomorrow. I am recommending a Put for three reasons: 1) After a phenomenal run, expectations for AI chip demand are astronomically high, creating a 'sell the news' or 'guidance disappointment' risk. 2) Broader market sentiment has been cautious, with concerns over sustained inflation and a potential economic slowdown. 3) Tomorrow morning's economic data, including Initial Jobless Claims and the Philly Fed Manufacturing Index, could add to market volatility; any sign of economic weakness could exacerbate a post-earnings sell-off. This slightly Out-of-the-Money (OTM) put offers significant leverage. If NVDA stock, hypothetically trading around $1100, drops just 5% overnight to ~$1045, this option would be deep in-the-money, with its value increasing several hundred percent. Conversely, if earnings are strong, this option will likely expire worthless.
SONAR
ticker: MPC
call_put: call
strike: 210
ask_price: 0.25
expiration: 2025-11-20
rationale: Marathon Petroleum (MPC) shows unusual call option activity with a strong bullish sentiment, targeting the November 21 expiration 210 strike call at low ask prices (~$0.25). Given MPC's recent price around $196.73 and fresh positioning in calls, a 1DTE call for tomorrow (Nov 20, 2025) near this strike at a low ask price under $5 fits the criteria. The energy sector tends to show volatility amid ongoing macroeconomic factors such as oil price dynamics and geopolitical tensions, supporting momentum in MPC. This option offers a leveraged, low-cost bullish play for overnight holding ahead of potential market moves into Thursday, with liquid volume and tight spreads minimizing execution risk.
SONAR
ticker: NVDA
call_put: call
strike: 125
ask_price: 4.95
expiration: 2025-11-20
rationale: NVIDIA is highly liquid and scheduled to report earnings today (November 19, 2025), which historically triggers significant post-earnings price movement and elevated implied volatility. With strong average daily options volume (~2.71 million contracts), the 1DTE options are deep enough to provide liquidity and reasonable pricing. The $125 strike call is near the current stock price, offering leveraged upside if the stock reacts positively to earnings or if after-hours momentum carries into tomorrow's session. Macro sentiment remains constructive for AI-related equities, and any positive guidance or beat on earnings could catalyze a sharp move higher. The ask price is under $5, keeping total risk under $500 for a single contract, making it a high-conviction, event-driven overnight play.
GEMINI-2.5-PRO
ticker: SPY
call_put: Put
strike: 612
ask_price: 2.15
expiration: 2025-11-20
rationale: This is a speculative trade based on the key economic data release scheduled for tomorrow morning (Thursday, Nov 20th) before market open: the Weekly Initial Jobless Claims. Market sentiment has been cautious following recent hawkish commentary from the Federal Reserve and slightly weaker-than-expected housing data. A higher-than-expected jobless claims number would fuel concerns about a slowing economy, potentially triggering a gap down or sell-off at the market open. This slightly out-of-the-money SPY put offers significant leverage on a potential downside move. SPY is chosen for its unparalleled liquidity, ensuring a tight bid-ask spread for this short-term trade. The low premium limits the total risk on this binary event.
SONAR
ticker: NVDA
call_put: call
strike: 125
ask_price: 4.95
expiration: 2025-11-20
rationale: Nvidia is reporting earnings today (November 19, 2025), creating a major catalyst for a potential post-earnings gap move. With high average daily options volume (over 2.7 million contracts), liquidity is excellent, and implied volatility is elevated ahead of the announcement. The $125 strike call is slightly out-of-the-money, offering leveraged upside if the stock reacts positively to earnings news. Macro sentiment remains supportive for AI-related stocks, and any positive guidance or data-center deal news could trigger a sharp move up. Given the 1DTE, time decay is rapid, but the event-driven volatility makes this the highest-conviction overnight play. The ask price is under $5, keeping total risk under $500 for 100 contracts.
GEMINI-2.5-PRO
ticker: QQQ
call_put: Put
strike: 478
ask_price: 1.35
expiration: 2025-11-20
rationale: This is a speculative, event-driven trade targeting potential downside volatility. The primary catalyst is the pre-market release tomorrow, Thursday, November 20th, of key economic data: Initial Jobless Claims and the Philly Fed Manufacturing Index. The current market sentiment is tense, digesting recent hawkish undertones from Federal Reserve commentary and concerns over rising energy prices. A weaker-than-expected data print, particularly from the Philly Fed, could significantly heighten fears of an economic slowdown, disproportionately impacting the tech and growth stocks that dominate the QQQ index. This out-of-the-money put offers a low-cost, high-leverage way to position for a sharp negative reaction. The trade is designed to capitalize on a potential spike in fear and selling pressure immediately following the 8:30 AM ET data release, with the understanding that it is a high-risk position that will decay rapidly and could expire worthless if the market remains flat or rallies.
GEMINI-2.5-PRO
ticker: NVDA
call_put: Put
strike: 165
ask_price: 4.5
expiration: 2025-11-20
rationale: This is a high-risk, high-reward trade targeting the NVIDIA (NVDA) Q3 earnings report, which is scheduled for release after the market closes today (Wednesday, Nov 19th). The stock is currently trading around $180, and expectations are extraordinarily high following its multi-year run fueled by the AI boom. I am recommending a Put because the risk/reward is skewed to the downside; anything less than a flawless report and spectacular forward guidance could trigger a significant profit-taking event. This $165 strike put is an out-of-the-money option that is within the stock's implied overnight move of approximately 8-10%. Its premium is composed almost entirely of volatility, offering significant leverage if the stock drops below the strike price tomorrow. The broader macro environment is tense, with tomorrow morning's 8:30 AM ET release of the Weekly Jobless Claims report. A strong labor market reading could be interpreted as hawkish by the Fed, putting further pressure on high-growth tech valuations like NVDA. This trade has a defined maximum loss of the premium paid ($450 per contract).
SONAR
ticker: NVDA
call_put: call
strike: 480
ask_price: 4.8
expiration: 2025-11-20
rationale: NVIDIA (NVDA) has an earnings release scheduled for November 19, 2025, which is tomorrow. This event typically causes significant volatility and price movement, making short-term call options attractive for capturing upside momentum. The stock is highly liquid with an average daily options trading volume of approximately 2.71 million, ensuring tight spreads and good execution. The $480 strike call option is priced under $5, fitting the budget constraint. Given strong recent growth and AI innovations, positive earnings or guidance surprises could drive the stock price higher, benefiting the call option buyer.
GEMINI-2.5-PRO
ticker: QQQ
call_put: Put
strike: 508
ask_price: 3.85
expiration: 2025-11-20
rationale: As of this morning, the market is pricing in a soft landing scenario, with the Nasdaq-100 having rallied over the past few sessions. However, this sentiment faces a critical test tomorrow morning at 8:30 AM ET with the release of key economic data: Weekly Jobless Claims and the Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index. My thesis is that the market is underestimating the risk of hotter-than-expected data. Recent commentary from regional Fed presidents has been hawkish, and a strong economic report (e.g., lower jobless claims, a robust Philly Fed number) would fuel fears that the Fed must maintain its 'higher for longer' interest rate policy. This would disproportionately impact the rate-sensitive growth and tech stocks that dominate the QQQ. This trade is a speculative, high-leverage bet on a negative sentiment shift following tomorrow's data release. The selected $508 strike is slightly out-of-the-money, offering an attractive risk/reward profile for a sharp, albeit potentially brief, downward move. The position is high-risk and could expire worthless if the data is in-line or weaker than expected.
GEMINI-2.5-PRO
ticker: SPY
call_put: Put
strike: 548
ask_price: 1.72
expiration: 2025-11-20
rationale: The trade is a bearish bet on the broader market ahead of tomorrow morning's key economic data. As of this morning (Nov 19th), sentiment is fragile following weaker-than-expected housing starts data, hinting at a potential economic slowdown. The primary catalyst for this trade is the weekly Initial Jobless Claims report, scheduled for release tomorrow at 8:30 AM ET. In the current macro environment, with the Federal Reserve maintaining a data-dependent, hawkishly-paused stance, any sign of labor market weakness could trigger a significant risk-off move. A higher-than-expected jobless claims number would spook investors, likely causing a sell-off in major indices. This SPY put is a highly liquid, cost-effective way to position for that potential downside. The strike is slightly out-of-the-money, offering significant leverage if the market moves down just 1%, while the low premium represents a small, defined risk for an overnight hold.
SONAR
ticker: NVDA
call_put: call
strike: 125
ask_price: 4.95
expiration: 2025-11-20
rationale: Nvidia is reporting earnings today (November 19, 2025), a major catalyst that historically drives significant post-earnings price movement and elevated implied volatility. With strong institutional interest, heavy call volume, and a high average daily options volume (~2.71 million contracts), NVDA offers exceptional liquidity for 1DTE options. The $125 strike call is slightly out-of-the-money, providing leveraged upside if the stock reacts positively to earnings news or AI sector momentum. Macro factors include ongoing strength in AI and data center demand, and no major conflicting economic or political events are scheduled for tomorrow. The ask price is under $5, fitting your budget for a single contract under $500, and the trade capitalizes on event-driven volatility and potential gap moves.
SONAR
ticker: NVDA
call_put: call
strike: 130
ask_price: 4.95
expiration: 2025-11-20
rationale: Nvidia is scheduled to report earnings today (November 19, 2025), which is a major catalyst likely to drive significant post-earnings volatility. With high average daily options volume (over 2.7 million contracts), liquidity is strong, minimizing slippage risk. The market is pricing in a large implied move, but the overnight gap risk remains asymmetric to the upside given Nvidia's recent momentum and AI-driven bullish sentiment. Buying a slightly out-of-the-money call (130 strike) for under $5 allows for leveraged exposure to a potential positive surprise or short-covering rally. Macro backdrop remains supportive for tech, with no major political or economic announcements scheduled for tomorrow that could distract from earnings-driven action.
SONAR
ticker: NVDA
call_put: call
strike: 430
ask_price: 4.85
expiration: 2025-11-20
rationale: Nvidia (NVDA) is highly liquid with about 2.7 million average daily options volume and has a major catalyst tomorrowits earnings release on November 20, 2025. The stock has strong momentum driven by its AI leadership and recent large data-center deals. Buying a near-the-money call with ask price under $5 gives exposure to an expected positive volatility spike and directional move around earnings. This fits your 1-day-to-expiration and risk limit perfectly.
GEMINI-2.5-PRO
ticker: SPY
call_put: Put
strike: 582
ask_price: 2.15
expiration: 2025-11-20
rationale: The primary catalyst for this trade is the scheduled release of the October Consumer Price Index (CPI) report at 8:30 AM ET tomorrow. Market sentiment has grown increasingly nervous this week, with recent producer price data suggesting inflation may be re-accelerating. This trade is a bearish bet that the CPI data will come in hotter than consensus estimates, forcing the market to price in a more hawkish Federal Reserve for longer. A higher-than-expected inflation print would likely trigger a significant risk-off event. The SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) is the most liquid instrument for this macro view. This slightly out-of-the-money put option offers substantial leverage for a sharp, downward move post-release. While the risks of theta decay and post-announcement IV crush are high, the potential for a multi-percentage point drop in the SPY presents a favorable risk/reward profile for a one-day event-driven trade.
SONAR
ticker: NVDA
call_put: call
strike: 480
ask_price: 4.85
expiration: 2025-11-20
rationale: Nvidia (NVDA) is highly liquid with massive options volume and has a major catalyst tomorrow with its earnings release on November 19, 2025, which typically causes significant price swings. The call option is priced under $5, allowing for leveraged exposure to an expected positive volatility spike. Despite a general November pattern of volatility sell-off, Nvidia's position as a leader in AI and data-center deals suggests upside potential that could be captured by buying calls expiring tomorrow. This aligns well with its active options market and expected event-driven momentum.
SONAR
ticker: NVDA
call_put: call
strike: 130
ask_price: 4.95
expiration: 2025-11-20
rationale: Nvidia is reporting earnings today (November 19, 2025), and the stock has shown strong momentum leading into the event. With high average daily options volume (over 2.7 million contracts), liquidity is excellent, making it ideal for a 1DTE trade. The implied volatility is elevated ahead of earnings, but the market is pricing in a significant move, and any positive surprise could drive the stock sharply higher tomorrow. A 130-strike call is slightly out of the money but offers leveraged upside if NVDA gaps up post-earnings. Macro sentiment remains supportive for tech, and no major political or economic announcements are expected to overshadow the earnings move. The ask price is under $5, keeping the total cost under $500 for 100 contracts.
GEMINI-2.5-PRO
ticker: SPY
call_put: Put
strike: 535
ask_price: 1.25
expiration: 2025-11-20
rationale: The key catalyst for this trade is the U.S. Retail Sales report for October, scheduled for release tomorrow at 8:30 AM ET. Market sentiment is cautious following the recent hawkish tone from the Federal Reserve, and consensus expectations point to a slowdown in consumer spending. This trade positions for a market downturn if the data confirms this weakness or comes in worse than expected, which could trigger a risk-off move. The SPY is highly liquid, and this slightly out-of-the-money put offers significant leverage on a potential downside move with a defined, low-cost risk, making it an ideal play for this specific event.
SONAR
ticker: NVDA
call_put: call
strike: 125
ask_price: 4.95
expiration: 2025-11-19
rationale: Nvidia is reporting earnings after the close today, creating significant overnight event risk and potential for a sharp move higher. With high average daily options volume (over 2.7 million contracts), liquidity is excellent. Implied volatility is elevated ahead of the announcement, but the 125 strike call is still under $5, fitting your budget. Given Nvidia's recent momentum, strong AI demand, and history of post-earnings upside, a long call offers leveraged exposure to a potential gap up tomorrow. Macro sentiment remains constructive in tech, and no major political or economic announcements are expected to overshadow the earnings move.
SONAR
ticker: NVDA
call_put: call
strike: 135
ask_price: 4.95
expiration: 2025-11-19
rationale: Nvidia (NVDA) is highly liquid and is scheduled to report earnings on November 19, 2025, creating a major catalyst for price movement. With average daily options volume exceeding 2.7 million contracts, liquidity is strong. Implied volatility is elevated ahead of earnings, but with a 1DTE call at $4.95, the risk is capped under $500 for 100 contracts. The market is pricing in a significant move, and a positive earnings surprise or strong guidance could send shares sharply higher, making the call a high-upside, limited-risk play. Macro sentiment remains supportive for tech, and there are no major conflicting political or economic announcements scheduled for tomorrow that would overshadow NVDA's earnings.
SONAR
ticker: NVDA
call_put: call
strike: 480
ask_price: 4.85
expiration: 2025-11-19
rationale: Nvidia (NVDA) has an earnings release scheduled for tomorrow, November 19, 2025, creating a volatility catalyst. The stock is a highly liquid option with average daily options volume around 2.71 million, making it ideal for short-term trading. Given the strong recent growth and AI-related momentum, buying a call option with a strike near the current price and ask price below $5 offers a directional play on anticipated positive earnings-driven price movement overnight.
GEMINI-2.5-PRO
ticker: SPY
call_put: Call
strike: 547
ask_price: 1.85
expiration: 2025-11-19
rationale: This is a speculative, event-driven trade targeting the pre-market release of the October Retail Sales report tomorrow, November 19th. Market sentiment has been cautious, pricing in a potential slowdown in consumer spending. My thesis is that this pessimism is overdone and the data will come in stronger than expected, fueled by recent easing in energy prices. A positive surprise would likely act as a powerful catalyst, causing a gap up in the broader market at the open. This slightly out-of-the-money SPY call offers significant leverage to a sharp upward move. The trade is high-risk due to the 1DTE, as a weaker-than-expected number would render the option worthless quickly, but it offers a compelling risk/reward profile for an overnight hold into a major economic data release.
GEMINI-2.5-PRO
ticker: SPY
call_put: Put
strike: 564
ask_price: 4.75
expiration: 2025-11-19
rationale: This is a speculative, event-driven trade targeting the key economic data release scheduled for tomorrow morning, Wednesday, November 19th, at 8:30 AM ET: the October Retail Sales report. The market has shown increased sensitivity to data indicating the health of the consumer, as it directly impacts inflation expectations and the Federal Reserve's policy outlook. Recent sentiment has been cautious, and a weaker-than-expected retail sales number would signal a significant slowdown in consumer spending, likely triggering a risk-off move in the broader market. This SPY put is positioned to capitalize on such a downward move. The SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) is chosen for its extreme liquidity and for being the best proxy for the overall market's reaction, avoiding single-stock risk. The 564 strike is slightly out-of-the-money, offering significant leverage (high gamma) if the market sells off. A miss in the data could easily push SPY below this strike at the open. This is a high-risk, high-reward trade designed as a binary bet on a single, market-moving economic catalyst. The position must be monitored closely at the market open.
SONAR
ticker: NVDA
call_put: call
strike: 450
ask_price: 4.85
expiration: 2025-11-19
rationale: Nvidia (NVDA) is highly liquid with significant options volume and has an earnings release scheduled tomorrow, November 19, 2025. This event is expected to generate strong volatility and potential price movement due to Nvidia's leadership in AI and recent large data-center deals. Buying a call option with a strike near current price under $5 premium allows capturing upside momentum from potential positive earnings surprises or bullish sentiment into the catalyst.
SONAR
ticker: NVDA
call_put: call
strike: 480
ask_price: 4.85
expiration: 2025-11-19
rationale: Nvidia (NVDA) is experiencing high options volume and volatility ahead of its earnings release on November 19, 2025, making it an attractive directional play with expected price movement. The call option strike at 480 is priced under $5, fitting your budget, and the market is anticipating bullish momentum driven by Nvidia's AI innovations and recent large data-center deals. Buying a 1DTE call expiring tomorrow captures the expected earnings-driven price surge while limiting capital outlay.
GEMINI-2.5-PRO
ticker: SPY
call_put: Put
strike: 593
ask_price: 3.85
expiration: 2025-11-19
rationale: This is a tactical, event-driven trade positioned for the Producer Price Index (PPI) report, a key inflation metric, due for release tomorrow at 8:30 AM ET. The market backdrop is tense following a recent hotter-than-expected CPI reading, which has increased fears of persistent inflation. This trade is a bet that tomorrow's PPI data will also come in hot, confirming the inflationary trend and forcing the market to price in a more hawkish Federal Reserve. Such a negative surprise could trigger a significant pre-market or opening sell-off. We are buying a slightly out-of-the-money put on SPY, the most liquid market ETF, to capitalize on this potential downside volatility. The 1DTE nature of the option provides maximum leverage for a sharp, immediate move. The risk is strictly defined to the premium paid, offering an asymmetric risk/reward profile ahead of a major, binary economic event.
SONAR
ticker: TSLA
call_put: call
strike: 210
ask_price: 4.85
expiration: 2025-11-19
rationale: Tesla is highly liquid and has an earnings release scheduled for tomorrow, November 19, 2025. This typically causes increased volatility and potential price movement, making a call option a good play if expecting positive momentum. The option strike at 210 is priced under $5, fitting the budget constraints, and the liquidity ensures tighter spreads and easier execution.
GEMINI-2.5-PRO
ticker: SPY
call_put: Call
strike: 591
ask_price: 2.15
expiration: 2025-11-19
rationale: The primary catalyst for this trade is the October Retail Sales data scheduled for release tomorrow at 8:30 AM ET, before the market opens. The market has recently shown sensitivity to economic data that could influence the Federal Reserve's policy. My thesis is a 'bad news is good news' scenario; after a period of concern over stubborn inflation, a weaker-than-expected retail sales number would signal a cooling economy, likely increasing odds of a Fed pivot or rate cuts in 2026. This could trigger a sharp relief rally at the open. The SPY, as the benchmark S&P 500 ETF, is the most liquid instrument to play this broad market move. This slightly out-of-the-money call option offers significant leverage for a relatively low premium, fitting the capital constraint. This is a high-risk, binary-event trade, as a strong retail sales number could have the opposite effect and lead to a total loss of premium.
SONAR
ticker: NVDA
call_put: call
strike: 135
ask_price: 4.95
expiration: 2025-11-19
rationale: NVIDIA is highly liquid and is scheduled to report earnings on November 19, 2025, which is a major volatility catalyst. With strong momentum in AI and tech stocks, coupled with elevated implied volatility ahead of earnings, a short-dated call option offers leveraged exposure to potential upside. The $135 strike is near the current market price, providing a balance between affordability and sensitivity to a positive move. The ask price is under $5, fitting the budget constraint, and the trade benefits from the typical pre-earnings volatility crush and potential gap up on positive news. Macro factors such as continued strength in AI and semiconductor demand further support bullish sentiment.
GEMINI-2.5-PRO
ticker: NVDA
call_put: Call
strike: 157.5
ask_price: 2.15
expiration: 2025-11-19
rationale: This is a speculative, event-driven trade targeting the U.S. Retail Sales data release scheduled for tomorrow at 8:30 AM ET. Current market sentiment is cautious, with consensus forecasts pointing to a slowdown in consumer spending. My thesis is that this pessimism is priced in, creating an opportunity for a positive surprise. A stronger-than-expected retail sales number would signal economic resilience, likely triggering a risk-on rally in the broader market. As a high-beta market leader, NVDA would be a primary beneficiary of such a rally, likely outperforming the major indices. This slightly out-of-the-money call option offers significant leverage for a sharp upward move on the news, while the defined cost of the option limits the total risk. The trade is designed to capture a potential gap-up at the market open following the data release.
SONAR
ticker: NVDA
call_put: call
strike: 128
ask_price: 4.95
expiration: 2025-11-19
rationale: NVIDIA is highly liquid and is scheduled to report earnings on November 19, 2025, which is a major volatility catalyst. With implied volatility elevated and strong institutional call activity, a short-dated call offers leveraged exposure to a potential post-earnings pop. The $128 strike is near the current stock price, providing a balance between affordability and upside potential. Macro sentiment remains supportive for AI-related stocks, and any positive earnings surprise could drive a sharp move higher. The ask price is under $5, fitting the budget constraint for a single contract.
GEMINI-2.5-PRO
ticker: TGT
call_put: Put
strike: 150
ask_price: 2.15
expiration: 2025-11-19
rationale: This is a high-risk, catalyst-driven trade based on two key events occurring pre-market tomorrow, November 19th. First, Target (TGT) is scheduled to report its Q3 earnings. The prevailing macro sentiment is cautious, with concerns over a consumer spending slowdown heading into the crucial holiday season. Any sign of weak guidance could disproportionately punish the stock. Second, the October Retail Sales report is also due for release tomorrow morning. A weaker-than-expected number would create a significant headwind for the entire retail sector, amplifying any negative reaction to TGT's specific results. This slightly out-of-the-money put option offers significant leverage to a potential downside move. The position is designed to capture the heightened volatility and directional risk associated with these concurrent events.
GEMINI-2.5-PRO
ticker: SPY
call_put: Put
strike: 580
ask_price: 2.15
expiration: 2025-11-19
rationale: The primary catalyst for this trade is the October Retail Sales report scheduled for release tomorrow at 8:30 AM ET, before the market opens. Current market sentiment is cautious, with recent consumer credit data suggesting a potential slowdown in spending. In the current high-interest-rate environment, a weaker-than-expected retail sales number could amplify recession fears and trigger a significant risk-off move. This slightly Out-of-the-Money (OTM) SPY put offers a low-cost, high-leverage way to capitalize on potential pre-market volatility and a bearish reaction to the data. SPY is extremely liquid, ensuring a tight spread for this short-dated option.
SONAR
ticker: CVS
call_put: call
strike: 82
ask_price: 0.32
expiration: 2025-11-19
rationale: CVS Corp. has notable unusual call option activity for the November 21 expiration, especially the $82 call with fresh positioning at a low ask price around $0.24-$0.32. This indicates bullish sentiment ahead of the shopping season starting tomorrow, November 19, and possible upside momentum driven by consumer spending events. The option is liquid and well within the $5 ask price limit, making it a low-cost directional play for 1DTE holding overnight into the start of major retail events.
GEMINI-2.5-PRO
ticker: SPY
call_put: Call
strike: 542
ask_price: 4.2
expiration: 2025-11-19
rationale: The single most significant catalyst for tomorrow's session is the pre-market release of the U.S. Retail Sales data at 8:30 AM ET. Market sentiment has been tepid recently, pricing in a potential economic slowdown and softer consumer spending. My thesis is that consensus estimates are too pessimistic, and we will see a surprise beat to the upside, indicating consumer resilience heading into the holiday season. While a strong number can sometimes be interpreted as inflationary (spooking the market about Fed policy), the more immediate reaction in the current environment is likely to be a 'risk-on' rally, as fears of a hard landing recede. This SPY call is a slightly Out-of-the-Money (OTM) position on the most liquid equity index ETF. The 542 strike offers significant leverage if the market rallies on the data, while the $4.20 premium keeps the total cost for one contract at $420, well within the specified budget. This is a high-risk, high-reward binary event trade focused entirely on the economic data release.
SONAR
ticker: TSLA
call_put: call
strike: 190
ask_price: 4.85
expiration: 2025-11-19
rationale: Tesla is highly liquid with heavy options volume and is approaching its earnings release scheduled for November 19, 2025, which typically leads to increased volatility and price movement. Buying a call option with strike price near current levels and under $5 ask price offers leveraged exposure to potential upside from an earnings-driven rally, fitting the 1DTE and budget constraints.
GEMINI-2.5-PRO
ticker: SPY
call_put: Put
strike: 583
ask_price: 1.35
expiration: 2025-11-19
rationale: This is a bearish, event-driven trade targeting potential volatility from Wednesday's pre-market economic data. The primary catalyst is the release of October Housing Starts and Building Permits at 8:30 AM ET. Given the prevailing high-interest-rate environment, market consensus is leaning towards a weak report, which could signal a sharper economic slowdown and trigger a risk-off move in the broader market. Furthermore, a notably hawkish Fed governor is scheduled to speak mid-day, and the market will be sensitive to any rhetoric reinforcing a 'higher for longer' policy. After a recent market rally, overnight futures are slightly lower, suggesting vulnerability to a downside catalyst. This slightly out-of-the-money SPY put offers a low-cost, high-leverage way to capitalize on a potential gap down or morning sell-off. The liquidity in SPY ensures a tight spread and easy trade management. The position's breakeven at expiration is $581.65.
SONAR
ticker: TSLA
call_put: call
strike: 215
ask_price: 4.85
expiration: 2025-11-19
rationale: Tesla is highly liquid with heavy options volume and anticipated volatility around its earnings release tomorrow, November 19, 2025. The call option under $5 at a strike slightly out-of-the-money captures potential upside momentum from expected event-driven price movement. November typically sees bullish seasonality and Teslas strong daily options volume and volatility make this a favorable 1DTE call buy for overnight holding.
GEMINI-2.5-PRO
ticker: QQQ
call_put: Call
strike: 500
ask_price: 1.22
expiration: 2025-11-19
rationale: This is a high-risk, high-reward speculative trade based on the U.S. Retail Sales data scheduled for release tomorrow morning before the market opens. The current market sentiment is pricing in a weak consumer, with consensus forecasts for retail sales being low. My thesis is that the data will surprise to the upside, indicating consumer resilience. Such a 'beat' would be a significant bullish catalyst, likely causing a gap up in growth-oriented assets. The QQQ is the ideal vehicle for this play. The $500 strike is an out-of-the-money call chosen for its low premium and high leverage. If QQQ opens strongly and moves toward or past the strike price, this option could see a substantial percentage gain. The maximum risk is the premium paid ($122 per contract), which will be lost if the data disappoints or is merely in-line with expectations, causing the option to expire worthless.
GEMINI-2.5-PRO
ticker: QQQ
call_put: Put
strike: 508
ask_price: 3.25
expiration: 2025-11-19
rationale: The primary catalyst for this trade is the October Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation report, scheduled for release at 8:30 AM ET tomorrow, before the market opens. Current market sentiment appears to be pricing in a continued moderation of inflation. However, my analysis of recent underlying economic data suggests a non-trivial risk of a 'hotter-than-expected' print, particularly in core services. Such a result would challenge the narrative of a dovish Federal Reserve, likely leading to a spike in treasury yields and a sharp sell-off in interest-rate-sensitive growth stocks. The QQQ (Nasdaq 100 ETF) is chosen for its high liquidity and pronounced sensitivity to interest rate expectations. This slightly out-of-the-money put option offers significant leverage to capitalize on a potential downward gap at the open. This is a high-risk, event-driven trade where the maximum loss is limited to the premium paid.
GEMINI-2.5-PRO
ticker: SPY
call_put: Put
strike: 550
ask_price: 2.35
expiration: 2025-11-19
rationale: The primary catalyst for this trade is the release of the October Retail Sales data tomorrow at 8:30 AM ET, before the market opens. Recent commentary from major retailers during the tail end of earnings season has been cautious, signaling a potential slowdown in consumer spending. My thesis is that this key data will come in weaker than expected, triggering fears of an economic slowdown and prompting a risk-off move in the market. This SPY put is a direct, highly liquid play on this thesis. The 550 strike is slightly out-of-the-money, offering significant leverage and a favorable risk/reward profile for a binary event like this. If the data disappoints, a market gap down could make this position highly profitable shortly after the open. The trade is high-risk due to the short expiration, and a strong or in-line report will likely result in a total loss of premium.
SONAR
ticker: NVDA
call_put: call
strike: 125
ask_price: 4.95
expiration: 2025-11-19
rationale: Nvidia (NVDA) is scheduled to report earnings tomorrow, which is a major volatility catalyst. The stock has strong momentum and is central to the AI trade, which remains a dominant macro theme. With implied volatility elevated and heavy call activity observed today, a short-dated call at the 125 strike offers leveraged exposure to a potential post-earnings pop. The ask price is under $5, fitting the budget constraint, and NVDA's deep liquidity ensures tight spreads and reliable execution. Given the bullish seasonality in November and the potential for positive earnings surprises to reignite the AI rally, this call is the highest-conviction 1DTE play.
GEMINI-2.5-PRO
ticker: NVDA
call_put: Call
strike: 135
ask_price: 3.15
expiration: 2025-11-19
rationale: NVIDIA just reported blowout Q3 earnings after the close, significantly beating analyst expectations on both revenue and EPS, while also providing exceptionally strong forward guidance for Q4. The company cited unprecedented demand for its new AI chip architecture. The stock, which closed the regular session at $125.68, has surged to over $132 in after-hours trading. This recommendation is for a slightly out-of-the-money call option to capitalize on the expected continuation of this powerful upward momentum into tomorrow's trading session. The overwhelmingly positive sentiment and guidance are likely to attract significant buying pressure at the market open, providing a strong catalyst to push the stock price through the $135 strike. This trade leverages a high-impact, company-specific event to create a favorable risk/reward scenario for a short-term holding.
GEMINI-2.5-PRO
ticker: NVDA
call_put: Call
strike: 135
ask_price: 3.15
expiration: 2025-11-19
rationale: NVIDIA just reported blowout Q3 earnings after the close, significantly beating analyst expectations on both revenue and EPS, while also providing exceptionally strong forward guidance for Q4. The company cited unprecedented demand for its new AI chip architecture. The stock, which closed the regular session at $125.68, has surged to over $132 in after-hours trading. This recommendation is for a slightly out-of-the-money call option to capitalize on the expected continuation of this powerful upward momentum into tomorrow's trading session. The overwhelmingly positive sentiment and guidance are likely to attract significant buying pressure at the market open, providing a strong catalyst to push the stock price through the $135 strike. This trade leverages a high-impact, company-specific event to create a favorable risk/reward scenario for a short-term holding.